Vendor Roadmaps
Last updated: September 18, 2026
Figures are as published by each vendor. LQ logical qubits · PQ physical qubits.
| Vendor | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trapped Ion | |||||
| IonQ [1] | 12 LQ | 800 LQ | 1,600 LQ | 8,000 LQ | 80,000 LQ |
| Quantinuum [2] | 48 LQ | ~100 LQ | — | 100s LQ | — |
| Superconducting | |||||
| IBM [3] | 120 PQ | — | 1,080 PQ | 200 LQ | — |
| D-Wave [4] | 17 PQ | 49 PQ | 181 PQ | — | 10 LQ |
| Rigetti [5] | 108 PQ | — | — | — | — |
| IQM [6] | 150–300 PQ | 4–36 LQ | 60–180 LQ | — | 240–720 LQ |
| OQC [7] | 16 LQ | — | 200 LQ | — | — |
| Alice & Bob [8] | — | — | — | — | 100 LQ |
| Fujitsu [9] | 1,000 PQ | — | — | — | 250 LQ |
| Neutral Atoms | |||||
| Pasqal [10] | 2 LQ | 20 LQ | — | 200 LQ | — |
| Infleqtion [11] | 30+ LQ | — | 100+ LQ | — | 1,000+ LQ |
| QuEra [12] | <100 LQ | — | 256 LQ | 1,000+ LQ | — |
| Photonic | |||||
| Xanadu [13] | — | — | — | Up to 200 LQ | Up to 500 LQ |
| Quandela [14] | 24 PQ | 10 LQ | 50 LQ | — | 100s LQ |
| Silicon Spin | |||||
| Diraq [15] | — | — | — | Up to 1,000 LQ | — |
Not all logical qubits are created equal. Different modalities introduce different effects such as speed, or coherence time. Different vendors use different error-correcting codes. Some problem types and algorithms will perform well with 800 logical qubits, others won’t.
Roadmaps are useful for assessing the evolution of technology. Sometimes roadmaps are aspirational, sometimes they are firm commitments. My approach: this is what the vendors say, I will hold them to it until new information causes a change.
We are transitioning from the NISQ era to the FTQC era, and some vendors publish physical qubits (PQ) and logical qubits (LQ). Rigetti only publishes physical qubits. It would be safe to conclude that milestones with physical qubit counts are NISQ era machines, and milestones with logical qubits are FTQC era machines.
Ultimately, this data gives us a directional sense on where vendors are with their programs today and where they intend to be in the future.
I will update this page as new information becomes available. Feel free to reach out with questions or corrections via the Contact page.
Sources
- [1] IonQ — Roadmap
- [2] Quantinuum — Helix: A New Architecture for Enterprise-Scale Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computing
- [3] IBM — Quantum Roadmap
- [4] D-Wave — Charts a new Course to fault tolerant quantum computing with gate model roadmap
- [5] Rigetti — Rigetti Signs Definitive Agreement for $100M with U.S. Government to Accelerate R&D for Superconducting Quantum Computing
- [6] IQM — Development Roadmap
- [7] OQC — Roadmap
- [8] Alice & Bob — Alice & Bob's Quantum Computing Roadmap
- [9] Fujitsu — Fujitsu and RIKEN develop world-leading 256-qubit superconducting quantum computer · Fujitsu develops diamond-spin quantum computer prototype. Fujitsu states 1,000 qubits for 2026 without saying whether they are physical or logical; shown here as physical. The 2030 figure is published as fiscal 2030, which runs to March 2031.
- [10] Pasqal — Pasqal Roadmap pdf
- [11] Infleqtion — Sqale Quantum Computer
- [12] QuEra — Our Roadmap
- [13] Xanadu — Xanadu Quantum Roadmap
- [14] Quandela — Roadmap 2026–2033. Quandela dates milestones to two-year periods; shown at the earliest year. The 2028 figure is published as 2028–29 and the 2030 figure as 2030–31.
- [15] Diraq — Diraq charts course to utility-scale quantum computing with millions of spin qubits on a single silicon chip
- [16] Google — Google Quantum AI. Google publishes milestones with no commitment to dates.